Subj: [ca-rlc]
Encouraging McClintock Campaign News
Date: 1/7/00 10:54:41 PM Pacific Standard Time
From: Westmiller@aol.com
To: ca-rlc@egroups.com
Below is a column from the Adam Smith Institute on several
races, including a promising look at CaRLC Advisor Tom
McClintock's State Senate campaign.
ASI's top targeted campaign is Jay LaSuer, who is running to
replace termed-out CaRLC Advisor Steve Baldwin's 77AD seat. If
any of you have more information on LaSuer, please fill me in.
Bill
===============================================
Subj: January 7-email
Date: 1/7/00 5:21:58 PM Pacific Standard Time
From: columns@adamsmith.org
Adam Smith Institute Columns
STATE SENATE UPDATE
After eight years, State Senator Cathie Wright (R-Simi Valley) has been
termed out of her safe Republican Ventura – Los Angeles seat. Contending for
the position are conservative Assemblyman Tom McClintock (R-Grenada Hills)
and Ventura Supervisor Judy Mikels. Unfortunately for Mikels, the county of
Ventura is in the midst of a serious financial crisis roundly blamed on the
Board of Supervisors. With media attention focused on the scandal, Mikels
has been unable to raise substantial sums of money (excluding a $50,000 loan
from her own legislative staff) and has virtually no grassroots effort.
McClintock is expected to show approximately $250,000 on hand, and has been
establishing a strong precinct program in Ventura county, supported by
Assemblyman Tony Strickland (R-Thousand Oaks). Recent polling indicates that
McClintock may be leading Mikels in her home city of Simi Valley by over 3
to 1. Mikels, a client of McNally, Temple and Associates, has been clear in
her conversations with Sacramento based associations: in order to make this
race competitive she will need large infusions of labor union money and
strong Democrat support at the polls.
Over the last decade, Democrats have slowly dominated the City of San Diego.
While the Congressional seat is held by Republican Brian Bilbray (R-San
Diego), the State Senate seats are held by Dede Alpert (D-San Diego) and
Steve Peace (D-Chula Vista), the Assembly seats by Howard Wayne (D-San
Diego), Susan Davis (D-San Diego), and Denise Ducheny (D-Chula Vista). After
the November General Election, the San Diego City Council is widely expected
to have a majority of Democrats for the first time in recent memory. Much of
this change can be associated with the rise of Alpert, who has diligently
nurtured a strong city farm team and Democrat Party grassroots structure.
Alpert’s personality during the last decade has given her the ability to
vote overwhelmingly anti-business in Sacramento while charming downtown GOP
establishment donors to the degree they have been loath to support
Republican attacks on her record. This may change with the candidacy of
Republican Larry Stirling, a former State Senator with a record of
aggressive campaigning. Stirling, who has taken a leave of absence from his
Superior Court Judge seat to run against Alpert, is rumored to have a
substantial financial commitment from State Senator Ross Johnson (R-Orange),
and is viewed as one of the few possible GOP State Senate pick-ups in 2000.
ASSEMBLY UPDATE
Endorsement. Jay LaSuer, candidate for the 77th Assembly District, has been
endorsed by the Adam Smith Institute. As noted by Adam Smith Chairman Rick
Otis “This is our number one targeted seat. Expect our organization to raise
substantial dollars to make sure LaSuer is our next Assemblyman.” LaSuer is
widely regarded as the frontrunner to replace term limited Assemblyman Steve
Baldwin (R-La Mesa). Other major endorsements include San Diego Supervisor
Dianne Jacob and Congressman Duncan Hunter (R-El Cajon).
In the 67th Assembly former Assemblyman Dennis Brown has dropped out and
endorsed businessman Jim Righeimer. The race, which was dividing
conservative Orange county legislators and donors, was expected to draw over
$700,000 vitally needed by Republicans for the 2000 General Election.
Righeimer is well know as a local activist, having founded the Orange County
Education Alliance and co-authored Proposition 209 “Paycheck Protection for
Workers”. Moderate Huntington Beach City Councilman Tom Harmon is also
running, but is expected to have negligible impact.
The Adam Smith Institute
5160 Carroll Canyon Road
San Diego, CA 92121
Comments: editor@adamsmith.org
Complimentary subscription: columns@adamsmith.org